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When to short 2013
#33
Breand Wrote:Well the market and bond rates are exploding upwards at the same time which is counter intuitive. Since I locked my 30 year at 3.375% a couple weeks ago, my same bank is now up to 3.75%. I can't imagine that is a good sign, because now bond rates are going crazy even as the Fed says they are still buying 80 billion a month. Could mean another housing crash down the line. If the Fed can't raise rates at some point because they are jumping up on their own, that is NOT good.

yea I agree. Safe haven is NOT Bonds. As interest rise, (and the Fed will act at some point) the bond market bubble is going to go bust. No way people will be hanging on to long term bonds once the rate goes up. It will never be this low again.

I really think we are in a big three bubble. Bonds and commodities for sure, and the stock market as a whole. The market has rushed way ahead of the recovery. Which is ok, but its to high for an economy that is still in recovery.

I can say Im glad I bought put options on the TZA I bought. I lost but no where near what it would have been.
Maul, the Bashing Shamie

"If you want to change the world, be that change."
--Gandhi

[Image: maull2.gif]
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